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The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem

Kim, Minseong (2014) The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In this paper, I will examine the representative halfer and thirder solutions to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Then by properly applying the event concept in probability theory and examining similarity of the Sleeping Beauty problem to the Monty Hall problem, it is concluded that the representative thirder solution is wrong and the halfers are right, but that the representative halfer solution also contains a wrong logical conclusion.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Kim, Minseongtwinightkim@gmail.com
Keywords: sleeping beauty problem, probability theory, Bayes' rule, Kolmogorov axioms, Monty Hall problem, Gambler's fallacy
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Mr. Bryce Kim
Date Deposited: 08 Dec 2014 01:59
Last Modified: 08 Dec 2014 01:59
Item ID: 11185
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 4 December 2014
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11185

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