Franceschi, Paul (2003) Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. UNSPECIFIED. (Unpublished)

There is a more recent version of this item available.

Preview

PDF Download (78Kb) | Preview

Abstract

I present a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and describe then a set of relevant urn analogies and situations. These latter experiments make it easier to diagnose the flaw in the thirder's line of reasoning. I discuss in detail the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 which is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. Lastly, I discuss an informative variant of the original Sleeping Beauty experiment that casts light on the diagnosis of the fallacy in the argument for 1/3.

Available Versions of this Item

• Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)[Currently Displayed]
  • Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
    • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
      • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 20 Dec 2005)
        • An Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 18 Nov 2008)
          • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 11 Dec 2008)
            • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 29 Oct 2010 11:48)

Actions (login required)