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Probability theory and causation. A branching space-times analysis

Muller, Thomas (2004) Probability theory and causation. A branching space-times analysis. [Preprint]


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We provide a formally rigorous framework for integrating singular causation, as understood by Nuel Belnap's theory of causae causantes, and objective single case probabilities. The central notion is that of a causal probability space whose sample space consists of causal alternatives. Such a probability space is generally not isomorphic to a product space. We give a causally motivated statement of the Markov condition and an analysis of the concept of screening-off.

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Item Type: Preprint
Muller, Thomas
Keywords: branching space-times, causation, probabilities, screening-off, Markov condition
Subjects: General Issues > Causation
Depositing User: Dr. Thomas Müller
Date Deposited: 30 Apr 2004
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 15:12
Item ID: 1737

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