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Probability theory and causation. A branching space-times analysis

Muller, Thomas (2004) Probability theory and causation. A branching space-times analysis. [Preprint]

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    Abstract

    We provide a formally rigorous framework for integrating singular causation, as understood by Nuel Belnap's theory of causae causantes, and objective single case probabilities. The central notion is that of a causal probability space whose sample space consists of causal alternatives. Such a probability space is generally not isomorphic to a product space. We give a causally motivated statement of the Markov condition and an analysis of the concept of screening-off.


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    Item Type: Preprint
    Keywords: branching space-times, causation, probabilities, screening-off, Markov condition
    Subjects: General Issues > Causation
    Depositing User: Dr. Thomas Müller
    Date Deposited: 30 Apr 2004
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:12
    Item ID: 1737
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/1737

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