Franceschi, Paul (2005) Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. [Preprint]
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Abstract
I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and discuss then Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. I show that the same type of analysis also applies to Elga's version of the argument for 1/3. Lastly, I show that the core of the Sleeping Beauty problem is related to the problem of world reduction.
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| Item Type: | Preprint |
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| Additional Information: | previous title: Sleeping Beauty in Flatland |
| Keywords: | Sleeping Beauty problem, Incubator, emerald case, part, whole |
| Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
| Depositing User: | Paul Franceschi |
| Date Deposited: | 22 Jan 2005 |
| Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 11:13 |
| Item ID: | 2175 |
| URI: | http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/2175 |
Available Versions of this Item
- Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
- Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
- Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)[Currently Displayed]
- Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
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