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The Laplace-Jaynes approach to induction

Porta Mana, P. G. L. and Månsson, A. and Björk, G. (2007) The Laplace-Jaynes approach to induction. [Preprint]

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    Abstract

    An approach to induction is presented, based on the idea of analysing the context of a given problem into `circumstances'. This approach, fully Bayesian in form and meaning, provides a complement or in some cases an alternative to that based on de Finetti's representation theorem and on the notion of infinite exchangeability. In particular, it gives an alternative interpretation of those formulae that apparently involve `unknown probabilities' or `propensities'. Various advantages and applications of the presented approach are discussed, especially in comparison to that based on exchangeability. Generalisations are also discussed.


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    Item Type: Preprint
    Keywords: iduction, probability theory, de Finetti's theorem, exchangeability
    Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
    Specific Sciences > Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence
    Depositing User: P G L Porta Mana
    Date Deposited: 14 Mar 2007
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:15
    Item ID: 3235
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/3235

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