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Four Problems about Self-Locating Evidence

Bradley, D. J. (2007) Four Problems about Self-Locating Evidence. [Preprint]

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    Abstract

    I argue that four problems that appear to be very different have the same structure. I give a unified treatment of the Doomsday Argument, Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-tuning Argument and confirmation in the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. All these cases involve self-locating evidence. However, the confusing feature of all these cases is not self-location, but observation selection effects. I explain how observation selection effects operate, why they affect the four problem cases, and how they can be incorporated into confirmation theory. I will defend the Doomsday Argument, the halfer position in Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-tuning Argument and the applicability of confirmation theory to the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics.


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    Item Type: Preprint
    Keywords: self-location, observation selection effects, sleeping beauty, everett, doomsday, fine-tuning
    Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
    Depositing User: Darren Bradley
    Date Deposited: 07 Jun 2007
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:15
    Item ID: 3344
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/3344

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