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Four Problems about Self-Locating Evidence

Bradley, D. J. (2007) Four Problems about Self-Locating Evidence. [Preprint]


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I argue that four problems that appear to be very different have the same structure. I give a unified treatment of the Doomsday Argument, Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-tuning Argument and confirmation in the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. All these cases involve self-locating evidence. However, the confusing feature of all these cases is not self-location, but observation selection effects. I explain how observation selection effects operate, why they affect the four problem cases, and how they can be incorporated into confirmation theory. I will defend the Doomsday Argument, the halfer position in Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-tuning Argument and the applicability of confirmation theory to the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics.

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Item Type: Preprint
Bradley, D. J.
Keywords: self-location, observation selection effects, sleeping beauty, everett, doomsday, fine-tuning
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Depositing User: Darren Bradley
Date Deposited: 07 Jun 2007
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 15:15
Item ID: 3344
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Date: June 2007

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