PhilSci Archive

Probability in Fine-Tuning Design Arguments

Staley, Kent (2007) Probability in Fine-Tuning Design Arguments. [Preprint]


Download (158kB)


This paper examines probabilistic versions of the fine-tuning argument for design (FTA), with an emphasis on the interpretation of the probability statements involved in such arguments. Three categories of probability are considered: physical, epistemic, and logical. Of the three possibilities, I argue that only logical probability could possibly support a cogent probabilistic FTA. However, within that framework, the premises of the argument require a level of justification that has not been met, and, it is reasonable to believe, will not be met anytime soon.

Export/Citation: EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL
Social Networking:
Share |

Item Type: Preprint
Staley, Kent
Keywords: probability, fine-tuning, design
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Religion
Depositing User: Kent Staley
Date Deposited: 23 May 2007
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 15:15
Item ID: 3354

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item