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Probability in Fine-Tuning Design Arguments

Staley, Kent (2007) Probability in Fine-Tuning Design Arguments. [Preprint]

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Abstract

This paper examines probabilistic versions of the fine-tuning argument for design (FTA), with an emphasis on the interpretation of the probability statements involved in such arguments. Three categories of probability are considered: physical, epistemic, and logical. Of the three possibilities, I argue that only logical probability could possibly support a cogent probabilistic FTA. However, within that framework, the premises of the argument require a level of justification that has not been met, and, it is reasonable to believe, will not be met anytime soon.


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Item Type: Preprint
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Staley, Kent
Keywords: probability, fine-tuning, design
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Religion
Depositing User: Kent Staley
Date Deposited: 23 May 2007
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 15:15
Item ID: 3354
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/3354

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