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How to Confirm the Disconfirmed. On conjunction fallacies and robust confirmation

Atkinson, David and Peijnenburg, Jeanne and Kuipers, Theo (2007) How to Confirm the Disconfirmed. On conjunction fallacies and robust confirmation. [Preprint]

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    Abstract

    Can some evidence confirm a conjunction of two hypotheses more than it confirms either of the hypotheses separately? We show that it can, moreover under conditions that are the same for nine different measures of confirmation. Further we demonstrate that it is even possible for the conjunction of two disconfirmed hypotheses to be confirmed by the same evidence.


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    Item Type: Preprint
    Keywords: Probability, confirmation, conjunction fallacy.
    Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
    General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
    Depositing User: David Atkinson
    Date Deposited: 23 Dec 2007
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:16
    Item ID: 3754
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/3754

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