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The Frequency Hypothesis and Evolutionary Arguments

Amitani, Yuichi (2008) The Frequency Hypothesis and Evolutionary Arguments. In: [2008] Philosophy of Science Assoc. 21st Biennial Mtg (Pittsburgh, PA) > PSA 2008 Contributed Papers.

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    Abstract

    Gerd Gigerenzer's views on probabilistic reasoning in humans have come under close scrutiny. Very little attention, however, has been paid to his evolutionary component of his argument. According to Gigerenzer, reasoning about probabilities as frequencies is so common today because it was favored by natural selection in the past. This paper presents a critical examination of this argument. It will show first, that, _pace_ Gigerenzer, there are some reasons to believe that using the frequency format was not more adaptive than using the standard (percentage) format and, second, that Gigerenzer's evolutionary argument and his other arguments such as his historical description of the notion of probability are in tension with each other.


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    Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
    Keywords: Bounded rationality, Probabilistic reasoning, Information representation, Ecological rationality, Evolutionary psychology
    Subjects: Specific Sciences > Biology > Evolutionary Psychology
    Conferences and Volumes: [2008] Philosophy of Science Assoc. 21st Biennial Mtg (Pittsburgh, PA) > PSA 2008 Contributed Papers
    Depositing User: Yuichi Amitani
    Date Deposited: 06 Nov 2008
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:17
    Item ID: 4312
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/4312

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