Delabre, Laurent (2008) Sleeping Beauty: Debate on a Paradox. [Preprint]
Abstract
I restate the Sleeping Beauty probabilistic paradox and offer an overview of the ongoing discussions that aim at resolving the problem. I summarize and eventually criticize briefly the various views: neutral position, Bayesian thirdism, non-Bayesian thirdism, traditional halfism, as well as the new halfism of credence conservation, a somewhat neglected but interesting point of view. I try at the same time to clarify some essential notions, to introduce the main actors of the debate, and to anticipate its evolution.
| Item Type: | Preprint |
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| Keywords: | sleeping beauty, probability, bayesianism, frequentism, subjectivism, objectivism, self-locating, centered world, observation selection effects, reflection, paradox, thought experiments |
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| Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory
General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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| Depositing User: | Laurent Delabre |
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| Date Deposited: | 18 Dec 2008 |
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| Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 11:17 |
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| Item ID: | 4342 |
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| URI: | http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/4342 |
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