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Calibration

Weirich, Paul (2009) Calibration. In: [2009] EPSA09: 2nd Conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association (Amsterdam, 21-24 October, 2009) > EPSA 2009 Contributed Papers.

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    Abstract

    Abner Shimony (1988) argues that degrees of belief satisfy the axioms of probability because their epistemic goal is to match estimates of objective probabilities. Because the estimates obey the axioms of probability, degrees of belief must also obey them to reach their epistemic goal. This calibration argument meets some objections, but with a few revisions it can surmount those objections. It offers a good alternative to the Dutch book argument for compliance with the probability axioms. The defense of Shimony's calibration argument examines rational pursuit of an epistemic goal, introduces strength of evidence and its measurement, and distinguishes epistemic goals and functions.


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    Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
    Keywords: Degrees of belief, probability axioms
    Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
    Conferences and Volumes: [2009] EPSA09: 2nd Conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association (Amsterdam, 21-24 October, 2009) > EPSA 2009 Contributed Papers
    Depositing User: Paul Weirich
    Date Deposited: 01 Sep 2009
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:18
    Item ID: 4861
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/4861

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