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Modeling scientific evidence: the challenge of specifying likelihoods

Forber, Patrick (2010) Modeling scientific evidence: the challenge of specifying likelihoods. In: [2009] EPSA09: 2nd Conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association (Amsterdam, 21-24 October, 2009) > EPSA 2009 Contributed Papers.

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    Abstract

    Evidence is an objective matter. This is the prevailing view within science, and confirmation theory should aim to capture the objective nature of scientific evidence. Modeling an objective evidence relation in a probabilistic framework faces two challenges: the probabilities must have the right epistemic foundation, and they must be specifiable given the hypotheses and data under consideration. Here I will explore how Sober's (2008, 2009) approach to confirmation handles these challenges of foundation and specification. In particular, I will argue that the specification problem proves especially difficult, and undermines the law of likelihood as an adequate representation of the objective nature of scientific evidence.


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    Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
    Keywords: Confirmation, likelihood, epistemology
    Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
    Conferences and Volumes: [2009] EPSA09: 2nd Conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association (Amsterdam, 21-24 October, 2009) > EPSA 2009 Contributed Papers
    Depositing User: Patrick Forber
    Date Deposited: 31 Mar 2010
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:19
    Item ID: 5236
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/5236

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