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A Third Route to the Doomsday Argument

Franceschi, Paul (2002) A Third Route to the Doomsday Argument. [Preprint]

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    Abstract

    In this paper, I present a solution to the Doomsday argument based on a third type of solution, by contrast to on the one hand, the Carter-Leslie view and on the other hand, the Eckhardt-Sowers-Sober analysis. The present line of thought is based on the fact that both aforementioned analyses are based on an inaccurate analogy. After discussing the imperfections of both models, I present then a novel model that fits more adequately with the human situation corresponding to the Doomsday argument. This last model also encapsulates both Carter-Leslie's and Eckhardt et al.'s models, and reveals a link with the issue of mind-body dualism. Lastly I argue that this novel analogy, combined with an adequate solution to the reference class problem, leads to a novel formulation of the argument that could well be more consensual than the original one


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    Item Type: Preprint
    Keywords: Doomsday argument, indeterminism
    Subjects: General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism
    Depositing User: Paul Franceschi
    Date Deposited: 05 Dec 2002
    Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 11:11
    Item ID: 925
    URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/925

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