Sleeping Beauty in Flatland

Franceschi, Paul (2004) Sleeping Beauty in Flatland.

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Abstract

I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and I also discuss Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. Lastly, I present an informative variant of the original Sleeping Beauty experiment that casts light on the diagnosis of the fallacy in the argument for 1/3.

Keywords:	Sleeping Beauty problem, probability theory, paradox, Nelson Goodman
Subjects:	Specific Sciences: Probability/Statistics
ID Code:	1580
Deposited By:	Franceschi, Paul
Deposited On:	20 January 2004

Available Versions of this Item

Sleeping Beauty in Flatland (deposited 22 August 2003)
- Sleeping Beauty in Flatland (deposited 20 January 2004) [Currently Displayed]
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