Nissan-Rozen, Ittay (2014) Contrastive explanations, crystal balls and the inadmissibility of historical information. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

I argue for the falsity of what I call the "Admissibility of Historical Information Thesis" (AHIT). According to the AHIT propositions that describe past events are always admissible with respect to propositions that describe future events. I first demonstrate that this demand has some counter-intuitive implications and then argue that the source of the counter-intuitiveness is a wrong understanding of the concept of chance. I also discuss the relation between the failure of the AHIT and the existence of contrastive explanations for chancy events (which David Lewis denied).

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Item Type:	Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Nissan-Rozen, Ittay ittay.nissan@mail.huji.ac.il
Keywords:	the Principal Principle, Chance, Credence, Contrastive Explanations, Admissibility,
Subjects:	General Issues > Laws of Nature
Depositing User:	Dr. Ittay Nissan-Rozen
Date Deposited:	12 Oct 2014 15:01
Last Modified:	12 Oct 2014 15:01
Item ID:	11063
Subjects:	General Issues > Laws of Nature
Date:	12 October 2014
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11063

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