Hoefer, Carl (2016) Objective chance: not propensity, maybe determinism. Lato Sensu, revue de la Société de philosophie des sciences, 3 (1). pp. 31-42. ISSN 2295-8029
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Abstract
One currently popular view about the nature of objective probabilities, or objective chances, is that they – or some of them, at least – are primitive features of the physical world, not reducible to anything else nor explicable in terms of frequencies, degrees of belief, or anything else. In this paper I explore the question of what the semantic content of primitive chance claims could be. Every attempt I look at to supply such content either comes up empty-handed, or begs important questions against the skeptic who doubts the meaningfulness of primitive chance claims. In the second half of the paper I show that, by contrast, there are clear, and clearly contentful, ways to understand objective chance claims if we ground them on deterministic physical underpinnings.
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| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | ||||||
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| Keywords: | chance; probability; propensity; primitive chance; subjective probability; determinism; indeterminism; Humeanism; frequentism | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism | ||||||
| Depositing User: | Lato Sensu | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 25 Feb 2017 15:57 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 25 Feb 2017 15:57 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 12845 | ||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Lato Sensu, revue de la Société de philosophie des sciences | ||||||
| Publisher: | Société de philosophie des sciences | ||||||
| Official URL: | http://sites.uclouvain.be/latosensu/index.php/lato... | ||||||
| DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.20416/lsrsps.v3i1.603 | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism | ||||||
| Date: | December 2016 | ||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 31-42 | ||||||
| Volume: | 3 | ||||||
| Number: | 1 | ||||||
| ISSN: | 2295-8029 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12845 |
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