Franceschi, Paul (2004) Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. [Preprint]

Preview

PDF sb-en.pdf Download (86kB)

Abstract

I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and I also discuss Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. Lastly, I present an informative variant of the original Sleeping Beauty experiment that casts light on the diagnosis of the fallacy in the argument for 1/3.

---

Export/Citation:

EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL

Social Networking:

Share |

---

Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Franceschi, Paul
Keywords:	Sleeping Beauty problem, probability theory, paradox, Nelson Goodman
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Paul Franceschi
Date Deposited:	20 Jan 2004
Last Modified:	07 Oct 2010 15:12
Item ID:	1580
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	January 2004
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/1580

Available Versions of this Item

• Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
  • Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004) [Currently Displayed]
    • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
      • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 20 Dec 2005)
        • An Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 18 Nov 2008)
          • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 11 Dec 2008)
            • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 29 Oct 2010 15:48)

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item