Arvan, Marcus and Bright, Liam Kofi and Heesen, Remco (2019) Jury Theorems for Peer Review. [Preprint]

Preview

Text Arvan Bright Heesen Jury Theorems for Peer Review.pdf - Draft Version Download (462kB) | Preview

Abstract

Peer review is often taken to be the main form of quality control on academic writings. Usually this is carried out by journals. Parts of math and physics appear to have now set up a parallel, crowd-sourced model of peer review, where papers are posted on the arXiv to be publicly discussed. In this paper we argue that crowd-sourced peer review is likely to do better than journal-solicited peer review at sorting papers by quality. Our argument rests on two key claims. First, crowd-sourced peer review will lead to there being on average more reviewers per paper than journal-solicited peer review. Second, due to the wisdom of the crowds, more reviewers will tend to make better judgments than fewer. We make the second claim precise by looking at the Condorcet Jury Theorem as well as two related, novel jury theorems developed specifically to apply to the case of peer review.

---

Export/Citation:

EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL

Social Networking:

Share |

---

Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Arvan, Marcus marvan@ut.edu Bright, Liam Kofi liamkbright@gmail.com 0000-0001-5450-8748 Heesen, Remco remco.heesen@uwa.edu.au 0000-0003-3823-944X
Keywords:	Philosophy of science Peer review Condorcet Jury Theorem Formal epistemology Social epistemology Bias
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Science and Policy General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
Depositing User:	Remco Heesen
Date Deposited:	25 Apr 2019 12:52
Last Modified:	25 Apr 2019 12:52
Item ID:	15931
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Science and Policy General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
Date:	23 April 2019
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/15931

Available Versions of this Item

• Jury Theorems for Peer Review. (deposited 25 Apr 2019 12:52) [Currently Displayed]
  • Jury Theorems for Peer Review. (deposited 22 Aug 2020 03:18)
    • Jury Theorems for Peer Review. (deposited 30 Jan 2022 05:07)

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item