McCutcheon, Randall (2019) An Eternal Con. [Preprint]

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Abstract

Cian Dorr considered the case of a fair coin that is tossed every day throughout an infinite past and an infinite future (an ``Eternal Coin''). Against intuition, he argued that, conditional on the Coin having landed {\it heads} throughout the past, one should believe, with full probability, that it will also land {\it heads} today. In this paper, we critique Dorr's arguments, as well as part of a reply by Myrvold.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID McCutcheon, Randall rmcctchn@memphis.edu 0000-0002-5305-3662
Keywords:	Eternal Coin, Reflection Principle, Countable Additivity, Conditional Probability
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Dr. Randall G. McCutcheon
Date Deposited:	24 Jul 2019 02:37
Last Modified:	24 Jul 2019 02:37
Item ID:	16254
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	23 July 2019
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/16254

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