Myrvold, Wayne C. (2013) You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities. [Preprint]

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Abstract

The standard treatment of conditional probability leaves conditional probability undefined when the conditioning proposition has zero probability. Nonetheless, some find the option of extending the scope of conditional probability to include zero-probability conditions attractive or even compelling. This articles reviews some of the pitfalls associated with this move, and concludes that, for the most part, probabilities conditional on zero-probability propositions are more trouble than they are worth.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Myrvold, Wayne C. wmyrvold@uwo.ca
Keywords:	Conditional probability, Borel paradox, Eternal Coin
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Wayne Myrvold
Date Deposited:	22 Aug 2013 13:40
Last Modified:	11 Jun 2014 13:17
Item ID:	9941
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	August 2013
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/9941

Available Versions of this Item

• You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities. (deposited 22 Aug 2013 13:40) [Currently Displayed]
  • You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities. (deposited 14 Jun 2014 19:01)
  • You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities. (deposited 11 Jun 2014 13:17)

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