Thompson, Erica and Frigg, Roman and Helgeson, Casey (2016) Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science, 83 (5). pp. 1110-1121.

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Abstract

Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical
way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making

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Item Type:	Published Article or Volume
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Thompson, Erica e.thompson@lse.ac.uk Frigg, Roman r.p.frigg@lse.ac.uk Helgeson, Casey casey.helgeson@gmail.com
Keywords:	Expert Elicitation, climate change, adaptation, evidence, IPCC, models
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences General Issues > Models and Idealization
Depositing User:	Roman Frigg
Date Deposited:	31 Jul 2017 01:01
Last Modified:	31 Jul 2017 01:01
Item ID:	13277
Journal or Publication Title:	Philosophy of Science
Publisher:	Chicago University Press
Official URL:	http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/6...
DOI or Unique Handle:	0031-8248/2016/8305-0039
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences General Issues > Models and Idealization
Date:	December 2016
Page Range:	pp. 1110-1121
Volume:	83
Number:	5
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/13277

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