McCutcheon, Randall G. (2018) The Best Laid Schemes of Mice and Me. [Preprint]

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Abstract

Adam Elga has argued that holders of imprecise credences fall prey to missed arbitrages, so that rational credences should be sharp. A decision rule proposed by Rohan Sud, Forward Looking, enables imprecise Bayesians to sidestep missed arbitrages and other ``bad books'' in isolated fixed-evidence binary betting sequences such as those of Elga. We show that Forward Looking imprecise Bayesians are committed to a bad book of bets when faced with a particular
3-bet variable-evidence binary betting sequence.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID McCutcheon, Randall G. cutch17@yahoo.com 0000-0002-5305-3662
Keywords:	Imprecise Credences; Forward Looking; Arbitrage Argument
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Dr. Randall G. McCutcheon
Date Deposited:	12 Sep 2018 14:23
Last Modified:	12 Sep 2018 14:23
Item ID:	15028
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	12 September 2018
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/15028

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