Roush, Sherrilyn (2016) Knowledge of Our Own Beliefs. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 96 (1). pp. 45-69.
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Abstract
There is a widespread view that in order to be rational we must mostly know what we believe. In the probabilistic tradition this is defended by arguments that a person who failed to have this knowledge would be vulnerable to sure loss, or probabilistically incoherent. I argue that even gross failure to know one’s own beliefs need not expose one to sure loss, and does not if we follow a generalization of the standard bridge principle between first-order and second-order beliefs. This makes it possible for a subject to use probabilistic decision theory to manage in a rational way cases of potential failure of this self-knowledge, as we find in implicit bias. Through such cases I argue that it is possible for uncertainty about what our beliefs are to be not only rationally permissible but advantageous.
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| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | ||||||
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| Keywords: | Coherence, Sure loss, Second-order beliefs, Implicit bias, Uncertainty | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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| Depositing User: | Sherrilyn Roush | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 30 Jun 2020 02:38 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 30 Jun 2020 02:38 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 17409 | ||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Philosophy and Phenomenological Research | ||||||
| Publisher: | Wiley | ||||||
| Official URL: | https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12274 | ||||||
| DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.1111/phpr.12274 | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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| Date: | February 2016 | ||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 45-69 | ||||||
| Volume: | 96 | ||||||
| Number: | 1 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/17409 |
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Knowledge of Our Own Beliefs. (deposited 28 Jun 2020 03:23)
- Knowledge of Our Own Beliefs. (deposited 30 Jun 2020 02:38) [Currently Displayed]
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