Dawid, Richard (2021) Does the No Alternatives Argument need Gerrymandering to Be Significant? [Preprint]

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Abstract

In a recent paper, Tushar Menon has argued that the no-alternatives argument can only be significant if the priors for numbers of alternatives are tuned in an implausible way (gerrymandered, as he calls it). In this paper, I demonstrate that priors needed for making a no-alternatives argument significant are in line with what can be plausibly assumed in a successful research field.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Dawid, Richard richard.dawid@philosophy.su.se 0000-0002-1472-2958
Additional Information:	This is a much extended text that is based on a brief analysis contained in an early version of the text "meta-empiricalconfirmation: addressing three points of criticism".
Keywords:	confirmation; meta-empirical-confirmation; non-empirical confirmation; Bayesianism; no alternatives argument
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Evidence Specific Sciences > Physics
Depositing User:	Dr. Richard Dawid
Date Deposited:	16 Mar 2021 22:51
Last Modified:	16 Mar 2021 22:51
Item ID:	18817
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Evidence Specific Sciences > Physics
Date:	2021
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/18817

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