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Stability in Climate Change Attribution

Dethier, Corey (2024) Stability in Climate Change Attribution. In: UNSPECIFIED.

Dethier SCCA 24.05.27.pdf

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Climate change attribution involves measuring the human contribution to warming. In principle, inaccuracies in the characterization of the climate's internal variability could undermine these measurements. Equally in principle, the success of the measurement practice could provide evidence that our assumptions about internal variability are correct. I argue that neither condition obtains: current measurement practices do not provide evidence for the accuracy of our assumptions precisely because they are not as sensitive to inaccuracy in the characterization of internal variability as might be worried. I end by drawing some lessons about "robustness reasoning" more generally.

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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Dethier, Coreycorey.dethier@gmail.com0000-0002-1240-8391
Keywords: climate science, attribution, robustness, stability, measurement, variability
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences
Depositing User: Dr. Corey Dethier
Date Deposited: 28 May 2024 15:14
Last Modified: 28 May 2024 15:14
Item ID: 23490
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences
Date: 2024

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