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A Model of Faulty and Faultless Disagreement for Post-Hoc Assessments of Knowledge Utilization in Evidence-Based Policymaking

Heesen, Remco and Rubin, Hannah and Schneider, Mike D. and Woolaston, Katie and Bortolus, Alejandro and Chukwu, Emelda E. and Kaufer, Ricardo and Mitova, Veli and Schwenkenbecher, Anne and Schwindt, Evangelina and Slanickova, Helena and Sogbanmu, Temitope O. and Hewitt, Chad L. (2024) A Model of Faulty and Faultless Disagreement for Post-Hoc Assessments of Knowledge Utilization in Evidence-Based Policymaking. Scientific Reports, 14. p. 18495. ISSN 2045-2322

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Abstract

When evidence-based policymaking is so often mired in disagreement and controversy, how can we know if the process is meeting its stated goals? We develop a novel mathematical model to study disagreements about adequate knowledge utilization, like those regarding wild horse culling, shark drumlines and facemask policies during pandemics. We find that, when stakeholders disagree, it is frequently impossible to tell whether any party is at fault. We demonstrate the need for a distinctive kind of transparency in evidence-based policymaking, which we call transparency of reasoning. Such transparency is critical to the success of the evidence-based policy movement, as without it, we will be unable to tell whether in any instance a policy was in fact based on evidence.


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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Heesen, Remcor.heesen@lse.ac.uk0000-0003-3823-944X
Rubin, Hannahhannahmrubin@gmail.com
Schneider, Mike D.schneidermd@missouri.edu0000-0002-3303-3664
Woolaston, Katie0000-0001-7652-9347
Bortolus, Alejandro0000-0003-3035-315X
Chukwu, Emelda E.0000-0002-3110-1678
Kaufer, Ricardo
Mitova, Veli0000-0002-4181-8170
Schwenkenbecher, Anne0000-0003-2207-3043
Schwindt, Evangelina0000-0001-6693-9828
Slanickova, Helena0009-0003-5557-9654
Sogbanmu, Temitope O.0000-0002-8913-267X
Hewitt, Chad L.0000-0002-6859-6512
Keywords: Evidence-based policy; Disagreement; Transparency; Epistemology
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
General Issues > Evidence
General Issues > Science and Society
General Issues > Science and Policy
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
General Issues > Values In Science
Depositing User: Remco Heesen
Date Deposited: 13 Aug 2024 14:14
Last Modified: 13 Aug 2024 14:14
Item ID: 23790
Journal or Publication Title: Scientific Reports
Publisher: Springer Nature
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-69012-3
DOI or Unique Handle: 10.1038/s41598-024-69012-3
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
General Issues > Evidence
General Issues > Science and Society
General Issues > Science and Policy
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
General Issues > Values In Science
Date: 9 August 2024
Page Range: p. 18495
Volume: 14
ISSN: 2045-2322
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/23790

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