Cirkovic, Milan M. (2024) Metatechnological mapping and the Ye Wenjie effect: Mitigating civilizational vulnerabilities. [Preprint]
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Abstract
In a widely cited study in this Journal, Nick Bostrom has posed the Vulnerable World Hypothesis: technological development, if occuring under conditions similar to those in the present, will make the devastation of civilization likely. In light of such drastic consequences, the hypothesis is worth seriously discussing in both bredth and depth. Two related proposals are hereby made and justified: creating a metatechnological map (or “tech tree”) capable of telling in advance where exactly the dangerous technologies are, and reducing the size of the apocalyptic residual by antitotalitarian deradicalization and deprogramming. Both are modest proposals in the sense that they imply neither deep restructuring of human nature nor building instruments for potential totalitarian violations of civil rights and liberties.
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| Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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| Additional Information: | Global Policy, in press | ||||||
| Keywords: | risk analysis, futures studies, technology forecasting, totalitarianism, philosophy of risk | ||||||
| Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Complex Systems Specific Sciences > Cultural Evolution Specific Sciences > Engineering General Issues > Ethical Issues General Issues > Technology |
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| Depositing User: | Milan Cirkovic | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 14 Nov 2024 13:38 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 14 Nov 2024 13:38 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 24217 | ||||||
| DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.1111/1758-5899.13469 | ||||||
| Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Complex Systems Specific Sciences > Cultural Evolution Specific Sciences > Engineering General Issues > Ethical Issues General Issues > Technology |
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| Date: | November 2024 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/24217 |
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