Franceschi, Paul (2005) Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. [Preprint]
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Abstract
I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and discuss then Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. I show that the same type of analysis also applies to Elga's version of the argument for 1/3. Lastly, I show that the core of the Sleeping Beauty problem is related to the problem of world reduction.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Additional Information: | section related to the problem of world reduction revised | ||||||
Keywords: | Sleeping Beauty problem, probability theory, emerald case, observational selection effects | ||||||
Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Thought Experiments |
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Depositing User: | Paul Franceschi | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 20 Dec 2005 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 15:13 | ||||||
Item ID: | 2572 | ||||||
Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Thought Experiments |
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Date: | December 2005 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/2572 |
Available Versions of this Item
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Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
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Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
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Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
- Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 20 Dec 2005) [Currently Displayed]
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Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
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Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
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