Glynn, Luke (2011) A Probabilistic Analysis of Causation. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 62 (2). pp. 343-392.
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Abstract
The starting point in the development of probabilistic analyses of token causation has usually been the naive intuition that, in some relevant sense, a cause raises the probability of its effect. But there are well-known examples both of non-probability-raising causation and of probability-raising non-causation. Sophisticated extant probabilistic analyses treat many such cases correctly, but only at the cost of excluding the possibilities of direct non-probability-raising causation, failures of causal transitivity, action-at-a-distance, prevention, and causation by absence and omission. I show that an examination of the structure of these problem cases suggests a different treatment, one which avoids the costs of extant probabilistic analyses.
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Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | ||||||
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Keywords: | Probabilistic Causation; Probability; Causation; Token Causation; Transitivity; Action-At-A-Distance; Prevention; Preemption; Omissions | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Causation General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Depositing User: | Dr. Luke Fenton-Glynn | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 08 May 2013 14:22 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 08 May 2013 14:22 | ||||||
Item ID: | 9729 | ||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | British Journal for the Philosophy of Science | ||||||
Publisher: | Oxford University Press | ||||||
Official URL: | http://bjps.oxfordjournals.org/content/62/2/343.fu... | ||||||
DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.1093/bjps/axq015 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Causation General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Date: | June 2011 | ||||||
Page Range: | pp. 343-392 | ||||||
Volume: | 62 | ||||||
Number: | 2 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/9729 |
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