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You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities

Myrvold, Wayne C. (2014) You Can't Always Get What You Want: Some considerations regarding conditional probabilities. [Preprint]

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Abstract

The standard treatment of conditional probability leaves conditional probability undefined when the conditioning proposition has zero probability. Nonetheless, some find the option of extending the scope of conditional probability to include zero-probability conditions attractive or even compelling. This articles reviews some of the pitfalls associated with this move, and concludes that, for the most part, probabilities conditional on zero-probability propositions are more trouble than they are worth.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Myrvold, Wayne C.wmyrvold@uwo.ca
Additional Information: Forthcoming in Erkenntnis.
Keywords: Conditional probability, Borel paradox, Eternal Coin
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Wayne Myrvold
Date Deposited: 11 Jun 2014 13:17
Last Modified: 11 Jun 2014 13:17
Item ID: 10732
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 10 June 2014
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/10732

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