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How to Built an Infinite Lottery Machine

Norton, John D. (2017) How to Built an Infinite Lottery Machine. [Preprint]

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Abstract

An infinite lottery machine is used as a foil for testing the reach of inductive inference, since inferences concerning it require novel extensions of probability. Its use is defensible if there is some sense in which the lottery is physically possible, even if exotic physics is needed. I argue that exotic physics is needed and describe several proposals that fail and at least one that succeeds well enough.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Norton, John D.jdnorton@pitt.edu
Keywords: chance nonmeasurable probability random super task
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: John Norton
Date Deposited: 13 Mar 2017 13:38
Last Modified: 13 Mar 2017 13:38
Item ID: 12899
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 14 February 2017
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12899

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