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Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis

Dardashti, Radin and Hartmann, Stephan and Thebault, Karim P Y and Winsberg, Eric (2015) Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. Provided such experiments can be ‘externally validated’ via universality arguments, we prove that they are confirmatory in Bayesian terms. We then provide a formal model for the scaling behaviour of the confirmation measure for multiple distinct realisations of the analogue system and isolate a generic saturation feature. Finally, we demonstrate that different potential analogue realisations could provide different levels of confirmation. Our results thus provide a basis both to formalise the epistemic value of analogue experiments that have been conducted and to advise scientists as to the respective epistemic value of future analogue experiments.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Dardashti, RadinDardashti@uni-wuppertal.de
Hartmann, StephanS.Hartmann@lmu.de
Thebault, Karim P Ykarim.thebault@gmail.com
Winsberg, Ericeric.winsberg@gmail.com
Keywords: Simulation, Analogue Reasoning, Models, Confirmation, Black Holes, Hawking Radiation
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
General Issues > Experimentation
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory
Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Depositing User: Dr. Radin Dardashti
Date Deposited: 21 Dec 2017 17:58
Last Modified: 21 Dec 2017 17:58
Item ID: 14234
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
General Issues > Experimentation
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory
Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Date: 27 December 2015
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14234

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