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The Significance of Non-Empirical Confirmation in Fundamental Physics

Dawid, Richard (2018) The Significance of Non-Empirical Confirmation in Fundamental Physics. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In the absence of empirical confirmation, scientists judge a theory's chances of being viable based on a wide range of arguments. The paper argues that such arguments can differ substantially with regard to their structural similarity to empirical confirmation. Arguments that resemble empirical confirmation in a number of crucial respects provide a better basis for reliable judgement and can, in a Bayesian sense, amount to significant non-empirical confirmation. It is shown that three kinds of non-empirical confirmation that have been specified in earlier work do satisfy those conditions.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Dawid, Richardrichard.dawid@philosophy.su.se0000-0002-1472-2958
Additional Information: To appear in the book "Why Trust a Theory? Epistemology of Fundamental Physics", Cambridge University Press.
Keywords: confirmation; underdetermination; string theory; Bayesianism; non-empirical
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
Specific Sciences > Physics > Fields and Particles
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Gravity
Depositing User: Dr. Richard Dawid
Date Deposited: 01 May 2018 13:53
Last Modified: 01 May 2018 13:53
Item ID: 14630
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
Specific Sciences > Physics > Fields and Particles
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Gravity
Date: April 2018
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14630

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