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Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis

Dardashti, Radin and Hartmann, Stephan and Thebault, Karim P Y and Winsberg, Eric (2015) Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. First we prove such experiments can be confirmatory in Bayesian terms based upon appeal to `universality arguments'. We then provide a formal model for the scaling behaviour of the confirmation measure for multiple distinct realisations of the analogue system and isolate a generic saturation feature. Finally, we demonstrate that different potential analogue realisations could provide different levels of confirmation. Our results provide a basis both to formalise the epistemic value of analogue experiments that have been conducted and to advise scientists as to the respective epistemic value of future analogue experiments.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Dardashti, Radindardashti@uni-wuppertal.de
Hartmann, StephanS.Hartmann@lmu.de
Thebault, Karim P Ykarim.thebault@gmail.com
Winsberg, Ericeric.winsberg@gmail.com
Keywords: Simulation, Analogue Reasoning, Models, Confirmation, Black Holes, Hawking Radiation
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
General Issues > Experimentation
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory
Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Depositing User: Dr. Radin Dardashti
Date Deposited: 26 Jun 2018 15:19
Last Modified: 26 Jun 2018 15:19
Item ID: 14819
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology
General Issues > Experimentation
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory
Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Date: 27 December 2015
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14819

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