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On the Origins of Old Evidence

Eva, Benjamin and Hartmann, Stephan (2019) On the Origins of Old Evidence. [Preprint]

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Abstract

The problem of old evidence, first described by Glymour (1980), is still widely regarded as one of the most pressing foundational challenges to the Bayesian account of scientific reasoning. Many solutions have been proposed, but all of them have drawbacks and none of them is considered to be definitive. Here, we introduce and defend a new kind of solution, according to which hypotheses are confirmed when we become more confident that they provide the only way of accounting for the known evidence.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Eva, Benjaminbenedgareva@icloud.com
Hartmann, StephanS.Hartmann@lmu.de
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Dr Benjamin Eva
Date Deposited: 02 Mar 2019 01:10
Last Modified: 02 Mar 2019 01:10
Item ID: 15778
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 27 February 2019
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/15778

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