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Propensities, Probabilities, and Experimental Statistics

Suárez, Mauricio (2017) Propensities, Probabilities, and Experimental Statistics. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

I defend a three-fold form of pluralism about chance, involving a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities, and frequencies. The argument has a negative and a positive part. Negatively, I argue against the identity thesis that informs current propensity theories, which already suggests the need for a tripartite distinction. Positively, I argue that that a tripartite distinction is implicit in much statistical practice. Finally, I apply a well-known framework in the modelling literature in order to characterize these three separate concepts functionally in terms of their roles in modelling practice.


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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Suárez, Mauriciomsuarez@filos.ucm.es
Additional Information: Appeared as Chapter 27 in EPSA15 Selected Papers: The 5th Conference of the Philosophy of Science Association, M. Massimi, Romeijn, J-W., and Schurz, G. (eds.), Springer, 2017, pp. 335-345.
Keywords: Philosophy of Probability; Modeling and Representation; History of Philosophy of Science; Frequencies and propensities
Subjects: General Issues > History of Philosophy of Science
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Mauricio Suárez
Date Deposited: 06 Aug 2019 03:31
Last Modified: 06 Aug 2019 03:31
Item ID: 16298
Official URL: https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-31...
DOI or Unique Handle: 10.1007/978-3-319-53730-6_27
Subjects: General Issues > History of Philosophy of Science
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 2017
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/16298

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