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Degrees of riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness. A neo-Popperian account applicable to probabilistic theories.

Vignero, Leander and Wenmackers, Sylvia (2021) Degrees of riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness. A neo-Popperian account applicable to probabilistic theories. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In this paper, we take a fresh look at three Popperian concepts: riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness (or verisimilitude) of scientific hypotheses or theories. First, we make explicit the dimensions that underlie the notion of riskiness. Secondly, we examine if and how degrees of falsifiability can be defined, and how they are related to various dimensions of the concept of riskiness as well as the experimental context. Thirdly, we consider the relation of riskiness to (expected degrees of) truthlikeness. Throughout, we pay special attention to probabilistic theories and we offer a tentative, quantitative account of verisimilitude for probabilistic theories.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Vignero, Leanderleander.vignero@kuleuven.be
Wenmackers, Sylviasylvia.wenmackers@kuleuven.be0000-0002-1041-3533
Keywords: falsifiability; Karl Popper; probability; riskiness; verisimilitude
Subjects: General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Prof. dr. Sylvia Wenmackers
Date Deposited: 08 Jul 2021 00:38
Last Modified: 08 Jul 2021 00:38
Item ID: 19296
Subjects: General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 7 July 2021
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/19296

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