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Setting the demons loose: computational irreducibility does not guarantee unpredictability or emergence

Tabatabaei Ghomi, Hamed (2022) Setting the demons loose: computational irreducibility does not guarantee unpredictability or emergence. Philosophy of Science, 89. pp. 761-783.

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Abstract

A phenomenon resulting from a computationally irreducible (or computationally incompressible) process is supposedly unpredictable except via simulation. This notion of unpredictability has been deployed to formulate recent accounts of computational emergence. Via a technical analysis, I show that computational irreducibility can establish the impossibility of prediction only with respect to maximum standards of precision. By articulating the graded nature of prediction, I show that unpredictability to maximum standards is not equivalent to being unpredictable in general. I conclude that computational irreducibility fails to fulfill its assigned philosophical roles in theories of computational emergence.


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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Tabatabaei Ghomi, Hamed
Keywords: emergence, weak emergence, computational irreducibility, prediction, unpredictability, simulation
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Complex Systems
Specific Sciences > Computation/Information
Specific Sciences > Computer Science
Depositing User: Hamed Tabatabaei Ghomi
Date Deposited: 20 Nov 2022 16:42
Last Modified: 20 Nov 2022 16:42
Item ID: 21450
Journal or Publication Title: Philosophy of Science
Official URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/philosophy...
DOI or Unique Handle: 10.1017/psa.2022.5
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Complex Systems
Specific Sciences > Computation/Information
Specific Sciences > Computer Science
Date: 2022
Page Range: pp. 761-783
Volume: 89
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/21450

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