Paul, Franceschi (2010) A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. [Preprint]

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Abstract

I describe in this paper an ontological solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with describing the hyper-entanglement urn experiment. I restate first the Sleeping Beauty problem from a wider perspective than the usual opposition between halfers and thirders. I also argue that the Sleeping Beauty experiment is best modelled with the hyper-entanglement urn. I draw then the consequences of considering that some balls in the hyper-entanglement urn have ontologically different properties form normal ones. In this context, considering a Monday-waking (drawing a red ball) leads to two different situations that are assigned each a different probability. This leads to a two-sided account of the Sleeping Beauty problem. On the one hand, the first situation is handled by the argument for 1/3. On the other hand, the second situation corresponds to a reasoning that echoes the argument for 1/2.

Available Versions of this Item

• Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
  • Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
    • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
      • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 20 Dec 2005)
        • An Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 18 Nov 2008)
          • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 11 Dec 2008)
            • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 29 Oct 2010 11:48)[Currently Displayed]

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