Reconsidering the Miracle Argument on the Supposition of
Transient Underdetermination

Hoyningen-Huene, Paul (2009) Reconsidering the Miracle Argument on the Supposition of
Transient Underdetermination. In [2008] Theoretical Frameworks and Empirical Underdetermination Workshop (Düsseldorf April 10-12, 2008).

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Abstract

In this paper, I will show that the Miracle Argument is unsound if one assumes a certain form of transient underdetermination. For this aim, I will first discuss and formalize several variants of underdetermination, especially that of transient underdetermination, by means of measure theory. I will then formalize a popular and persuasive form of the Miracle Argument that is based on “use novelty”. I will then proceed to the proof that the miracle argument is unsound by means of a mathematical example. Finally, I will expose two hidden presuppositions of the Miracle Argument that make it so immensely though deceptively persuasive.

Keywords:no miracles argument, underdetermination, novel prediction, use novelty.
Subjects:General Issues: Theory Change
General Issues: Theory/Observation
General Issues: Realism/Anti-realism
Conferences and Volumes:[2008] Theoretical Frameworks and Empirical Underdetermination Workshop (Düsseldorf April 10-12, 2008)
ID Code:4657
Deposited By:Votsis, Ioannis
Deposited On:28 May 2009