Suárez, Mauricio (2020) Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modeling. Elements in the Philosophy of Science series. ISSN 9781108985826
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Abstract
This book has two main aims. The first one (chapters 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (chapters 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the ‘complex nexus of chance’.
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| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | ||||||
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| Additional Information: | Some past draft papers are now superseded by this short volume just published by Cambridge University Press (December 2020) and entitled: "Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modeling", of which the old deposited version is a preprint. For the final published version, see the Elements page: https://www.cambridge.org/core/elements/philosophy-of-probability-and-statistical-modelling/C12D7946AE6E7224C08A0667DCB58A10 | ||||||
| Keywords: | Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of Probability, Philosophy of Statistics | ||||||
| Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Biology > Evolutionary Theory General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Mechanics |
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| Depositing User: | Prof Mauricio Suárez | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 02 Jan 2021 00:11 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 02 Jan 2021 00:11 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 18512 | ||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Elements in the Philosophy of Science series | ||||||
| Publisher: | Cambridge University Press | ||||||
| Official URL: | https://www.cambridge.org/core/elements/philosophy... | ||||||
| DOI or Unique Handle: | https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108985826 | ||||||
| Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Biology > Evolutionary Theory General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Mechanics |
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| Date: | 1 December 2020 | ||||||
| ISSN: | 9781108985826 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/18512 |
Available Versions of this Item
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Explanatory Chance. (deposited 31 Aug 2019 22:53)
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Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modeling. (deposited 24 Oct 2020 19:46)
- Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modeling. (deposited 02 Jan 2021 00:11) [Currently Displayed]
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Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modeling. (deposited 24 Oct 2020 19:46)
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