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Scientific Revolutions and the Explosion of Scientific Evidence

Fahrbach, Ludwig (2014) Scientific Revolutions and the Explosion of Scientific Evidence. [Preprint]


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Scientific realism, the position that successful theories are likely to be approximately
true, is threatened by the pessimistic induction according to which the history of science is full of suc-
cessful, but false theories. I aim to defend scientific realism against the pessimistic induction. My main
thesis is that our current best theories each enjoy a very high degree of predictive success, far higher
than was enjoyed by any of the refuted theories. I support this thesis by showing that both the amount,
and quality, of scientific evidence has increased enormously in the recent past, resulting in a big boost
of success for the best theories.

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Item Type: Preprint
Keywords: scientific realism, pessimistic induction, no-miracle argument, explosion of evidence
Subjects: General Issues > Realism/Anti-realism
Depositing User: Dr. Ludwig Fahrbach
Date Deposited: 27 Nov 2014 15:36
Last Modified: 27 Nov 2014 15:36
Item ID: 11170
Subjects: General Issues > Realism/Anti-realism
Date: 25 November 2014

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