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Inherent Complexity: a problem for Statistical Model Evaluation

Romeijn, Jan-Willem (2016) Inherent Complexity: a problem for Statistical Model Evaluation. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

This paper investigates a problem for statistical model evaluation, in particular for curve fitting: by employing a different family of curves we can fit a scatter plot almost perfectly at apparently minor costs in terms of model complexity. The problem is resolved by an appeal to prior probabilities. This leads to some general lessons about how to approach model evaluation.


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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Romeijn, Jan-Willemj.w.romeijn@rug.nl
Keywords: curve fitting, model selection, statistics
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Dr Jan-Willem Romeijn
Date Deposited: 31 Oct 2016 12:59
Last Modified: 31 Oct 2016 12:59
Item ID: 12570
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 30 October 2016
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12570

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