McCutcheon, Randall G. (2018) In favor of logarithmic scoring. [Preprint]

Preview

Text gigo3f.pdf Download (234kB) | Preview

Abstract

Shuford, Albert and Massengill proved, a half century ago, that the logarithmic scoring rule is the only proper measure of inaccuracy determined by a differentiable function of probability assigned the actual cell of a scored partition. In spite of this, the log rule has gained less traction in applied disciplines and among formal epistemologists that one might expect. In this paper we show that the differentiability criterion in the Shuford et. al. result is unnecessary and use the resulting simplified characterization of the logarithmic rule to give novel arguments in favor of it.

---

Export/Citation:

EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL

Social Networking:

Share |

---

Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID McCutcheon, Randall G. rmcctchn@memphis.edu 0000-0002-5305-3662
Additional Information:	Forthcoming in Philosophy of Science
Keywords:	scoring rules, Brier score, epistemic accuracy
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Dr. Randall G. McCutcheon
Date Deposited:	24 May 2018 18:10
Last Modified:	24 May 2018 18:10
Item ID:	14700
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	22 May 2018
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14700

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item