Franceschi, Paul (2004) Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. [Preprint]
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Abstract
I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and I also discuss Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. Lastly, I present an informative variant of the original Sleeping Beauty experiment that casts light on the diagnosis of the fallacy in the argument for 1/3.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Keywords: | Sleeping Beauty problem, probability theory, paradox, Nelson Goodman | ||||||
Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics | ||||||
Depositing User: | Paul Franceschi | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 20 Jan 2004 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 15:12 | ||||||
Item ID: | 1580 | ||||||
Subjects: | Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics | ||||||
Date: | January 2004 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/1580 |
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Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
- Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004) [Currently Displayed]
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