Romero, Felipe and Sprenger, Jan (2020) Scientific Self-Correction: The Bayesian Way. Synthese. ISSN 1573-0964
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Abstract
The enduring replication crisis in many scientific disciplines casts doubt on the ability of science to self-correct and to produce reliable knowledge. There are different approaches for addressing this challenge. Social reformists hypothesize that the social structure of science such as the credit reward scheme must be changed. Methodological reformists suggest changes to the way data are gathered, analyzed and shared, such as compulsory pre-registration or multi-site experiments with different research teams. Statistical reformists argue more specifically that science would be more reliable and self-corrective if null hypothesis significance tests (NHST) were replaced by a different inference framework, such as Bayesian statistics. On the basis of a simulation study for meta-analytic aggregation of effect sizes, we articulate a middle ground between the different reform proposals: statistical reform alone won't suffice, but moving to Bayesian statistics eliminates important sources of overestimating effect sizes.
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| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | |||||||||
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| Keywords: | statistical inference, Bayesian statistics, frequentist statistics, significance testing, replication crisis, reliability of science, statistical reform, scientific method | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Experimentation Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics Specific Sciences > Psychology General Issues > Science and Policy General Issues > Values In Science |
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| Depositing User: | Jan Sprenger | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 13 May 2020 03:43 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 13 May 2020 03:43 | |||||||||
| Item ID: | 17175 | |||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Synthese | |||||||||
| Publisher: | Springer (Springer Science+Business Media B.V.) | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Experimentation Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics Specific Sciences > Psychology General Issues > Science and Policy General Issues > Values In Science |
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| Date: | 2020 | |||||||||
| ISSN: | 1573-0964 | |||||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/17175 |
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Scientific Self-Correction: The Bayesian Way. (deposited 12 Mar 2019 19:46)
- Scientific Self-Correction: The Bayesian Way. (deposited 13 May 2020 03:43) [Currently Displayed]
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