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Against methodological gambling

Trpin, Borut (2021) Against methodological gambling. [Preprint]

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Abstract

Should a scientist rely on methodological triangulation? Heesen et al. (2019) recently provided a convincing affirmative answer. However, their approach requires belief gambles if the evidence is discordant. We instead propose epistemically modest triangulation (EMT), according to which one should withhold judgement in such cases. We show that for a scientist in a methodologically diffident situation the expected utility of EMT is greater than that of Heesen et al.’s (2019) triangulation or that of using a single method. We also show that EMT is more appropriate for increasing epistemic trust in science. In short: triangulate, but do not gamble with evidence.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Trpin, Borutborut.trpin@lrz.uni-muenchen.de0000-0002-1121-9388
Additional Information: Published (online) in Erknenntnis (open access) on April 7, 2021.
Keywords: methodological triangulation; epistemic modesty; discordant evidence, epistemic trust, philosophy of science, philosophy of social sciences
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Economics
General Issues > Evidence
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Society
Specific Sciences > Sociology
General Issues > Values In Science
Depositing User: Dr. Borut Trpin
Date Deposited: 24 Nov 2023 02:18
Last Modified: 24 Nov 2023 02:18
Item ID: 18693
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Economics
General Issues > Evidence
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Society
Specific Sciences > Sociology
General Issues > Values In Science
Date: 7 February 2021
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/18693

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