Northcott, Robert (2021) Prediction, history, and political science. [Preprint]
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Abstract
Political science usually requires either prediction or contextual historical work to succeed. Because of the difficulty of prediction, the main focus should often be contextual historical work. Both of these methods favor narrow-scope explanations. I illustrate, via an example, the role that this still leaves for theory. I conclude by assessing the scope for political science to offer policy advice. All of this tells against several practices that are widespread in the discipline.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Additional Information: | to appear in: Harold Kincaid and Jeroen van Bouwel (eds), Oxford Handbook of Philosophy of Political Science | ||||||
Keywords: | prediction; history; explanation; political science; theory | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Explanation General Issues > Models and Idealization General Issues > Science and Policy Specific Sciences > Sociology |
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Depositing User: | Dr Robert Northcott | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 17 Jul 2021 03:42 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 17 Jul 2021 03:42 | ||||||
Item ID: | 19319 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Explanation General Issues > Models and Idealization General Issues > Science and Policy Specific Sciences > Sociology |
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Date: | 14 July 2021 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/19319 |
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