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Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos

Dethier, Corey (2021) Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. Philosophy of Science, 88 (5). pp. 997-1007.

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Abstract

Philosophy of climate science has witnessed substantial recent debate over the existence of a dynamical or "structural" analogue of chaos, which is alleged to spell trouble for certain uses of climate models. In this paper, I argue that the debate over the analogy can and should be separated from its alleged epistemic implications: chaos-like behavior is neither necessary nor sufficient for small dynamical misrepresentations to generate erroneous results. I identify the relevant kind of kind of sensitivity with a kind of safety failure and argue that the resulting set of issues has different stakes than the extant debate would indicate.

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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Dethier, Coreycorey.dethier@gmail.com0000-0002-1240-8391
Keywords: Climate science, chaos, safety, models
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Climate Science and Meteorology
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Depositing User: Dr. Corey Dethier
Date Deposited: 12 Dec 2021 01:18
Last Modified: 12 Dec 2021 01:18
Item ID: 20014
Journal or Publication Title: Philosophy of Science
DOI or Unique Handle: https://doi.org/10.1086/714705
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Climate Science and Meteorology
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Date: 5 December 2021
Page Range: pp. 997-1007
Volume: 88
Number: 5
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/20014

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