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All About Actual Accuracy-Dominance

Rooyakkers, Patrick Neal (2024) All About Actual Accuracy-Dominance. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We have lots of good arguments for a variety of epistemic norms on how you should plan to change your credences or beliefs upon coming to possess new evidence. We don’t have many good arguments for how you should actually change your credences or beliefs in response to receiving new evidence. Sure, we do have some arguments for actual epistemic norms, but none of them are the gold standard in the field, that is, none of them are accuracy-dominance arguments. Here we fill this gap. Doing so requires some conceptual development about good and bad ways to evaluate your epistemic performance. In short: your evidence, while not directly placing constraints on your rational attitudes, places a constraint on how you should evaluate your epistemic performance. If you possess evidence E, it seems, from your point of view, bad to take non-E worlds as relevant to the assessment of your epistemic performance. Using this idea, we develop an accuracy-dominance argument for Actual Conditionalization and a variety of other actual updating norms.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Rooyakkers, Patrick Nealrooyakkers.patrick@gmail.com
Keywords: accuracy-dominance, Actual Conditionalization, rational updating
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology
Depositing User: Mr. Patrick Neal Rooyakkers
Date Deposited: 27 Oct 2024 15:31
Last Modified: 27 Oct 2024 15:31
Item ID: 24114
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology
Date: 25 October 2024
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/24114

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